The most likely outcome of the economic turmoil triggered by the coup is a period of slow economic growth and joblessness, even as inflation rises and the value of the kyat continues to slide against the US dollar.
BY

  

The most likely outcome of the economic turmoil triggered by the coup is a period of slow economic growth and joblessness, even as inflation rises and the value of the kyat continues to slide against the US dollar.
In recent months the KIO’s armed wing, the Kachin Independence Army, has come under sustained attack by the Tatmadaw, resulting in the loss of several key mountain posts and bases. These offensives have put IDPs in the firing line, prompted the Northern Alliance counter-offensive in northern Shan State in late November and jeopardised progress at next month’s planned 21st Century Panglong – Union Peace Conference.

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Myanmar enters 2021 with more friends than foes
The early delivery of vaccines is one of the many boons of the country’s geopolitics, but to really take advantage, Myanmar must bury the legacy of its isolationist past.
Will the Kayin BGF go quietly?
The Kayin State Border Guard Force has come under intense pressure from the Tatmadaw over its extensive, controversial business interests and there’s concern the ultimatum could trigger fresh hostilities in one of the country’s most war-torn areas.